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Chipotle Mexican Grill
CMGConsumer DiscretionaryGenerated Sep 5, 2026, 07:37 AM UTC
CMG (Chipotle Mexican Grill) analytical snapshot. Revenue grew +5.4% YoY to $11.93B. 5-year revenue CAGR +9.6%; 10y CAGR +13.2%. Net margin at 12.88% (expanding ▲). Market cap $46.77B at $36.96 per share. Trailing P/E 32.42, P/S 3.92, P/B 21.26. EV/Operating income ≈ 24.04 (EV $46.54B). Risk: Elevated. Macro: Risk-on · Supportive. Composite analytical score 3 (data confidence 82%). Descriptive analytics from public filings — not investment advice.
Market cap
$46.77B
1.27B shares
Price
$36.96
NYQ
P/E (ttm)
32.42
Revenue (FY)
$11.93B
YoY +5.4%
Net margin
12.88%
▲ 2.47pp
Free cash flow
$1.45B
12.14% margin
Risk level
Elevated
Free SEC analysis
— computed from SEC filings, free to readFree previewRegulatory Analyst
Filings & Ownership
Regulatory Analyst
score -10Stable
80% conf
Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 4, 2026. Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Jul 31, 2026. 19 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 4, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Jul 31, 2026.
- 19 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 1 sell transactions — net selling $95.6K.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference Chipotle Mexican Grill; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include Carroll Investors, Inc, Carroll Investors, Inc, SUMMIT SECURITIES GROUP, LLC.
- 20 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Latest 10-K
Feb 4, 2026
Annual report
Latest 10-Q
Jul 31, 2026
8-K (recent)
19
Insider net
-$95.6K
0B/1S
13F filers
10k+
Activist 13D
0
Recent 13F institutional filers (SEC EDGAR full-text)
| Filer | Form | Filed |
|---|---|---|
| Carroll Investors, Inc | 13F-HR | Apr 28, 2022 |
| Carroll Investors, Inc | 13F-HR | Feb 16, 2022 |
| SUMMIT SECURITIES GROUP, LLC | 13F-HR | May 1, 2018 |
| Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P. | 13F-HR | May 14, 2021 |
| SOUNDPOST PARTNERS, LP | 13F-HR | Aug 14, 2012 |
Recent insider Form 4 activity
| Insider | Date | Net | Buys/Sells |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bush Matthew R | Aug 24, 2026 | -$95.6K | 0/1 |
Recent 8-K material events
| Date | Form | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jul 8, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
Insider Form 4 sentiment (transactions)
Buys: 0
Sells: 1
Buys
Sells
Free previewSEC Filing Analyst
SEC Filing Deep-Analysis
SEC Filing Analyst
score -16Deteriorating
64% conf
1 risk signal(s), 1 positive signal(s), 1 watch item(s) detected from XBRL filing diff analysis. 1 positive signal(s) versus 1 risk signal(s). The filing exhibits more constructive indicators than concerns, though individual risk factors should still be monitored.
- Restatement of financial statements: The term "restatement of" "previously issued" appears in 2 recent filing(s) (vs 1 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
- Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 1.38x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
- NEW: Off-balance sheet arrangements: Off-balance sheet arrangements appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
- Endogenous analysis: 1 positive signal(s) versus 1 risk signal(s). The filing exhibits more constructive indicators than concerns, though individual risk factors should still be monitored.
- 1 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
- 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 1 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Off-balance sheet arrangements.
- Ongoing high-severity risk language: Restatement of financial statements.
Revenue
$11.93B
+5.4% YoY
Operating income
$1.94B
+1.0% YoY
Net income
$1.54B
+0.1% YoY
Operating cash flow
$2.11B
+0.4% YoY
Capex
$666.3M
+12.3% YoY
Total assets
$8.99B
-2.3% YoY
Total liabilities
$6.16B
+11.1% YoY
Long-term debt
$0
— YoY
Filing quality score
67/100
1 new disclosures
SEC XBRL metric changes (latest annual vs prior)
| Metric | Prior year | Latest year | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.31B | $11.93B | $611.7M | +5.4% |
| Operating income | $1.92B | $1.94B | $19.5M | +1.0% |
| Net income | $1.53B | $1.54B | $1.7M | +0.1% |
| Operating cash flow | $2.11B | $2.11B | $8.8M | +0.4% |
| Capex | $593.6M | $666.3M | $72.7M | +12.3% |
| Total assets | $9.20B | $8.99B | $-209.8M | -2.3% |
| Total liabilities | $5.55B | $6.16B | $615.1M | +11.1% |
| Long-term debt | $0 | $0 | $0 | — |
| Cash & equivalents | $748.5M | $350.5M | $-398.0M | -53.2% |
| Stockholders equity | $3.66B | $2.83B | $-824.9M | -22.6% |
| Inventory | $48.9M | $49.5M | $566000 | +1.2% |
| Accounts receivable | $144.0M | $156.5M | $12.5M | +8.7% |
XBRL disclosure changes (new vs dropped concepts)
| Type | Concepts |
|---|---|
| Added | EffectiveIncomeTaxRateReconciliationTaxCreditEnergyRelatedAmount |
| Removed | AccountsAndFinancingReceivableAllowanceForCreditLoss, AccruedSalariesCurrent, AccumulatedDepreciationDepletionAndAmortizationPropertyPlantAndEquipment, CurrentFederalTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentForeignTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentIncomeTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentStateAndLocalTaxExpenseBenefit, DeferredCompensationLiabilityCurrentAndNoncurrent, DeferredFederalIncomeTaxExpenseBenefit, DeferredForeignIncomeTaxExpenseBenefit |
Risk language in filing text (EDGAR full-text search)
| Term | Severity | Recent | Prior | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restatement of financial statements | high | 2 | 1 | Ongoing |
| Impairment charge | medium | 5 | 2 | Ongoing |
| Restructuring | medium | 5 | 7 | Ongoing |
| Off-balance sheet arrangements | medium | 5 | 0 | NEW |
| Related party transactions | low | 5 | 9 | Ongoing |
Filing signal breakdown
Red flags: 1
Positive: 1
Watch: 1
Red flags
Positive
Watch
Free previewFundamentals Analyst
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Analyst
score 45Improving
80% conf
Revenue grew +5.4% YoY to $11.93B. 5-year revenue CAGR +9.6%; 10y CAGR +13.2%. Net margin at 12.88% (expanding ▲).
- Revenue grew +5.4% YoY to $11.93B.
- 5-year revenue CAGR +9.6%; 10y CAGR +13.2%.
- Net margin at 12.88% (expanding ▲).
- Return on equity 54.26%, ROA 17.07%, ROIC 68.39%.
- Gross margin 0.00%, operating margin 16.23%.
- Free cash flow margin 12.14% ($1.45B).
- Net income up ▲ +0.1% YoY.
- Debt/equity 0.00, current ratio 0.72, net debt -$228.2M.
- Asset turnover 1.35 — capital efficiency.
Revenue (FY)
$11.93B
YoY +5.4%
Net margin
12.88%
▲ 2.47pp
ROE
54.26%
ROA 17.07%
ROIC
68.39%
EPS (diluted)
$1.14
FY2025
Free cash flow
$1.45B
12.14% margin
Debt / equity
0.00
Cash $228.2M
Current ratio
0.72
Equity $2.20B
Annual fundamentals — up to 10 years (SEC 10-K, US-GAAP)
| FY | Revenue | Rev YoY | Gross% | Op% | Net% | FCF | ROE% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $11.31B | +14.6% | 0.00 | 16.94 | 13.56 | $1.51B | 41.97 |
| 2025 | $11.93B | +5.4% | 0.00 | 16.23 | 12.88 | $1.45B | 54.26 |
Quarterly revenue trend (last 6 quarters, SEC 10-Q)
| Quarter end | Revenue | YoY | QoQ | Net margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2024 | $2.79B | +13.0% | — | 13.87% |
| Mar 31, 2025 | $2.88B | +6.4% | +2.9% | 13.45% |
| Jun 30, 2025 | $3.06B | +3.0% | +6.5% | 14.24% |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $3.00B | +7.5% | -2.0% | 12.72% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $3.09B | +7.4% | +2.8% | 9.81% |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $3.35B | +9.3% | +8.4% | 12.05% |
Sources:SEC EDGAR — Company Facts (XBRL)
+8 more years of history, charts & full breakdown Pro
Pro analysis — preview
— score, signals & key metrics shown; full reasoning lockedValuation
Valuation Analyst
score -60Deteriorating
95% conf
Market cap $46.77B at $36.96 per share. Trailing P/E 32.42, P/S 3.92, P/B 21.26. EV/Operating income ≈ 24.04 (EV $46.54B).
- Market cap $46.77B at $36.96 per share.
Market cap
$46.77B
1.27B shares
P/E (ttm)
32.42
P/S
3.92
P/B
21.26
EV
$46.54B
Intrinsic (DCF)
$24.29
-34.3% vs price
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Price & Technicals
Technical Analyst
score 65Improving
85% conf
Price $36.96 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive. RSI(14) 66.39.
- Price $36.96 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive.
Price
$36.96
NYQ
RSI(14)
66.39
50-DMA
$34.87
200-DMA
$34.85
Volatility (ann.)
42.68%
52w range
$28.04–$42.82
-13.7% from high
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Macro & Rates
Macro Analyst
score 30Improving
80% conf
Risk-on · Supportive. Real GDP growth 1.50% (quarterly, as of Apr 1, 2026). CPI inflation +3.3% YoY. Fed funds rate 3.63%, 10Y Treasury 4.77%.
- Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive.
GDP growth
1.50%
CPI (YoY)
+3.3%
Fed funds
3.63%
10Y yield
4.77%
10Y−2Y
0.41pp
Unemployment
4.10%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Risk Scorecard
Risk Analyst
score -20Deteriorating
90% conf
Composite risk Elevated. Leverage debt/equity 0.00 (low). Liquidity current ratio 0.72 (stretched).
- Composite risk: Elevated.
Risk level
Elevated
Debt / equity
0.00
Current ratio
0.72
Margin stdev
1.63pp
Cash / assets
2.57%
Liab / assets
75.18%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
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Macro exposure
Cyclical / growth · High sensitivityMacro regime: Risk-on · Supportive. Chipotle Mexican Grill is a cyclical / growth name (high macro sensitivity) — risk appetite favors cyclical/growth names.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Yield curve
Normal
VIX
14.32
Fed funds
3.63%
CPI YoY
+3.3%
Analytical read
deterministic previewRevenue grew **+5.4%** YoY to $11.93B..
Risk
Elevated
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Macro exposure
Supportive
Descriptive analytics from public filings and macro data — not investment advice.
Peer comparison
Cyclical / growth groupHow CMG stacks up against tracked peers with similar macro sensitivity — by analytical score and macro exposure.
| Company | Score | Macro |
|---|---|---|
| Intuit Inc. INTU | 35 | Supportive |
| CF Industries CF | 34 | Supportive |
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| United Airlines Holdings UAL | 3 | Supportive |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill CMG● you | 3 | Supportive |
| GE Aerospace GE | 2 | Supportive |
| Snowflake Inc. SNOW | 2 | Supportive |
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