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Old Dominion Freight
ODFLIndustrialsGenerated Sep 5, 2026, 01:48 PM UTC
ODFL (Old Dominion Freight) analytical snapshot. Return on equity 23.75%, ROA 18.71%, ROIC 31.57%. Net income down ▼ +13.7% YoY. Debt/equity 0.01, current ratio 1.89, net debt -$238.9M. Market cap $38.54B at $185.87 per share. Trailing P/E 38.40, P/B 8.48. EV/Operating income ≈ 28.14 (EV $38.30B). Risk: Low. Macro: Risk-on · Supportive. Composite analytical score -19 (data confidence 77%). Descriptive analytics from public filings — not investment advice.
Market cap
$38.54B
207.36M shares
Price
$185.87
NMS
P/E (ttm)
38.40
Revenue (FY)
—
Net margin
—
Free cash flow
$955.1M
Risk level
Low
Free SEC analysis
— computed from SEC filings, free to readFree previewRegulatory Analyst
Filings & Ownership
Regulatory Analyst
score -10Stable
80% conf
Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 24, 2026. Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Aug 5, 2026. 19 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 24, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Aug 5, 2026.
- 19 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 1 sell transactions — net selling $4.0M.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference Old Dominion Freight; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include BRANT POINT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC, Flat Footed LLC, Flat Footed LLC.
- 20 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Latest 10-K
Feb 24, 2026
Annual report
Latest 10-Q
Aug 5, 2026
8-K (recent)
19
Insider net
-$4.0M
0B/1S
13F filers
10k+
Activist 13D
0
Recent 13F institutional filers (SEC EDGAR full-text)
| Filer | Form | Filed |
|---|---|---|
| BRANT POINT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC | 13F-HR | Feb 13, 2024 |
| Flat Footed LLC | 13F-HR | Aug 14, 2023 |
| Flat Footed LLC | 13F-HR | Feb 14, 2023 |
| Flat Footed LLC | 13F-HR | May 15, 2023 |
| Flat Footed LLC | 13F-HR | Aug 15, 2022 |
Recent insider Form 4 activity
| Insider | Date | Net | Buys/Sells |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overbey Cecil E. Jr. | Aug 26, 2026 | -$4.0M | 0/1 |
Recent 8-K material events
| Date | Form | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| May 21, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
Insider Form 4 sentiment (transactions)
Buys: 0
Sells: 1
Buys
Sells
Free previewSEC Filing Analyst
SEC Filing Deep-Analysis
SEC Filing Analyst
score -35Deteriorating
60% conf
2 risk signal(s), 1 positive signal(s), 2 watch item(s) detected from XBRL filing diff analysis. 2 risk signal(s) detected versus 1 positive signal(s). The balance of evidence suggests elevated filing-specific risk that warrants monitoring in subsequent filings.
- NEW: Going concern doubt in latest filing: The term "going concern" "substantial doubt" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 1 filing(s).
- NEW: Substantial doubt about ability to continue in latest filing: The term "substantial doubt" "ability to continue" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 1 filing(s).
- Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 1.34x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
- NEW: Restructuring: Restructuring appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
- NEW: Off-balance sheet arrangements: Off-balance sheet arrangements appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
- Endogenous analysis: 2 risk signal(s) detected versus 1 positive signal(s). The balance of evidence suggests elevated filing-specific risk that warrants monitoring in subsequent filings.
- 4 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
- 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 4 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Going concern doubt, Substantial doubt about ability to continue, Restructuring, Off-balance sheet arrangements.
Operating income
$1.36B
-11.8% YoY
Net income
$1.02B
-13.7% YoY
Operating cash flow
$1.37B
-17.4% YoY
Capex
$415.0M
-46.2% YoY
Total assets
$5.47B
-0.4% YoY
Total liabilities
$1.16B
-7.0% YoY
Long-term debt
$45.0M
-52.6% YoY
Cash & equivalents
$120.1M
+10.5% YoY
Filing quality score
73/100
4 new disclosures
SEC XBRL metric changes (latest annual vs prior)
| Metric | Prior year | Latest year | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating income | $1.54B | $1.36B | $-183.0M | -11.8% |
| Net income | $1.19B | $1.02B | $-162.4M | -13.7% |
| Operating cash flow | $1.66B | $1.37B | $-289.1M | -17.4% |
| Capex | $771.3M | $415.0M | $-356.3M | -46.2% |
| Total assets | $5.49B | $5.47B | $-21.2M | -0.4% |
| Total liabilities | $1.25B | $1.16B | $-87.7M | -7.0% |
| Long-term debt | $95.0M | $45.0M | $-50.0M | -52.6% |
| Cash & equivalents | $108.7M | $120.1M | $11.4M | +10.5% |
| Stockholders equity | $4.24B | $4.31B | $66.5M | +1.6% |
| Accounts receivable | $501.6M | $471.9M | $-29.6M | -5.9% |
XBRL disclosure changes (new vs dropped concepts)
| Type | Concepts |
|---|---|
| Added | AdjustmentsRelatedToTaxWithholdingForShareBasedCompensation, DebtLongtermAndShorttermCombinedAmount, LongTermDebtNoncurrent, OtherOperatingIncomeExpenseNet |
| Removed | AdvertisingExpense, CurrentFederalStateAndLocalTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentFederalTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentStateAndLocalTaxExpenseBenefit, DebtAndCapitalLeaseObligations, DeferredCompensationLiabilityClassifiedNoncurrent, DeferredCompensationLiabilityCurrent, DeferredCompensationLiabilityCurrentAndNoncurrent, DeferredFederalIncomeTaxExpenseBenefit, DeferredFederalStateAndLocalTaxExpenseBenefit |
Risk language in filing text (EDGAR full-text search)
| Term | Severity | Recent | Prior | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Going concern doubt | high | 1 | 0 | NEW |
| Substantial doubt about ability to continue | high | 1 | 0 | NEW |
| Restructuring | medium | 4 | 0 | NEW |
| Off-balance sheet arrangements | medium | 5 | 0 | NEW |
| Related party transactions | low | 5 | 2 | Ongoing |
Filing signal breakdown
Red flags: 2
Positive: 1
Watch: 2
Red flags
Positive
Watch
Free previewFundamentals Analyst
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Analyst
score 20Improving
80% conf
Return on equity 23.75%, ROA 18.71%, ROIC 31.57%. Net income down ▼ +13.7% YoY. Debt/equity 0.01, current ratio 1.89, net debt -$238.9M.
- Return on equity 23.75%, ROA 18.71%, ROIC 31.57%.
- Net income down ▼ +13.7% YoY.
- Debt/equity 0.01, current ratio 1.89, net debt -$238.9M.
Revenue (FY)
—
Net margin
—
ROE
23.75%
ROA 18.71%
ROIC
31.57%
EPS (diluted)
$4.84
FY2025
Free cash flow
$955.1M
Debt / equity
0.01
Cash $283.9M
Current ratio
1.89
Equity $4.55B
Annual fundamentals — up to 10 years (SEC 10-K, US-GAAP)
| FY | Revenue | Rev YoY | Gross% | Op% | Net% | FCF | ROE% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | — | $888.0M | 27.94 |
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | — | $955.1M | 23.75 |
Sources:SEC EDGAR — Company Facts (XBRL)
+8 more years of history, charts & full breakdown Pro
Pro analysis — preview
— score, signals & key metrics shown; full reasoning lockedValuation
Valuation Analyst
score -60Deteriorating
83% conf
Market cap $38.54B at $185.87 per share. Trailing P/E 38.40, P/B 8.48. EV/Operating income ≈ 28.14 (EV $38.30B).
- Market cap $38.54B at $185.87 per share.
Market cap
$38.54B
207.36M shares
P/E (ttm)
38.40
P/S
—
P/B
8.48
EV
$38.30B
Intrinsic (DCF)
$79.24
-57.4% vs price
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Price & Technicals
Technical Analyst
score -60Deteriorating
85% conf
Price $185.87 — downtrend (below 200-DMA); 1-month momentum negative. RSI(14) 15.24 (oversold).
- Price $185.87 — downtrend (below 200-DMA); 1-month momentum negative.
Price
$185.87
NMS
RSI(14)
15.24
50-DMA
$214.62
200-DMA
$196.55
Volatility (ann.)
37.94%
52w range
$126.01–$252.03
-26.3% from high
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Macro & Rates
Macro Analyst
score 30Improving
80% conf
Risk-on · Supportive. Real GDP growth 1.50% (quarterly, as of Apr 1, 2026). CPI inflation +3.3% YoY. Fed funds rate 3.63%, 10Y Treasury 4.77%.
- Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive.
GDP growth
1.50%
CPI (YoY)
+3.3%
Fed funds
3.63%
10Y yield
4.77%
10Y−2Y
0.41pp
Unemployment
4.10%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Risk Scorecard
Risk Analyst
score 7Stable
67% conf
Composite risk Low. Leverage debt/equity 0.01 (low). Liquidity current ratio 1.89 (adequate).
- Composite risk: Low.
Risk level
Low
Debt / equity
0.01
Current ratio
1.89
Margin stdev
—
Cash / assets
4.95%
Liab / assets
20.72%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
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Macro exposure
Cyclical / growth · High sensitivityMacro regime: Risk-on · Supportive. Old Dominion Freight is a cyclical / growth name (high macro sensitivity) — risk appetite favors cyclical/growth names.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Yield curve
Normal
VIX
14.32
Fed funds
3.63%
CPI YoY
+3.3%
Analytical read
deterministic previewReturn on equity **23.75%**, ROA 18.71%, ROIC 31.57%..
Risk
Low
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Macro exposure
Supportive
Descriptive analytics from public filings and macro data — not investment advice.
Peer comparison
Cyclical / growth groupHow ODFL stacks up against tracked peers with similar macro sensitivity — by analytical score and macro exposure.
| Company | Score | Macro |
|---|---|---|
| Intuit Inc. INTU | 35 | Supportive |
| CF Industries CF | 34 | Supportive |
| MercadoLibre Inc. MELI | 29 | Supportive |
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| Meta Platforms Inc. META | 23 | Supportive |
| Okta Inc. OKTA | 18 | Supportive |
| Qualcomm Inc. QCOM | 18 | Supportive |
| Roku Inc. ROKU | 17 | Supportive |
| Comcast Corp. CMCSA | 17 | Supportive |
| Microsoft Corp. MSFT | 16 | Supportive |
| Marvell Technology MRVL | 16 | Supportive |
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| Old Dominion Freight ODFL● you | -19 | Supportive |
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