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Starbucks Corp.

SBUXConsumer Discretionary

Generated Sep 5, 2026, 01:35 PM UTC

analytical score -32

SBUX (Starbucks Corp.) analytical snapshot. Revenue grew +2.8% YoY to $37.18B. 5-year revenue CAGR +5.1%; 10y CAGR +6.4%. Net margin at 4.99% (contracting ▼). Market cap $119.10B at $104.47 per share. Trailing P/E 64.09, P/S 3.20. EV/Operating income ≈ 44.00 (EV $129.20B). Risk: Elevated. Macro: Risk-on · Supportive. Composite analytical score -32 (data confidence 83%). Descriptive analytics from public filings — not investment advice.

Market cap
$119.10B
1.14B shares
Price
$104.47
NMS
P/E (ttm)
64.09
Revenue (FY)
$37.18B
YoY +2.8%
Net margin
4.99%
▼ 5.18pp
Free cash flow
$2.44B
6.57% margin
Risk level
Elevated

Free SEC analysis

— computed from SEC filings, free to read
Free previewRegulatory Analyst

Filings & Ownership

Regulatory Analyst
score -10Stable
80% conf

Latest annual report (10-K) filed Nov 14, 2025. Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Jul 29, 2026. 20 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.

  • Latest annual report (10-K) filed Nov 14, 2025.
  • Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Jul 29, 2026.
  • 20 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
  • Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 5 sell transactions — net selling $915.3K.
  • ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference Starbucks Corp.; broad institutional reporting.
  • Recent filers include Tevis Investment Management, Tevis Investment Management, Tevis Investment Management.
  • 20 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Latest 10-K
Nov 14, 2025
Annual report
Latest 10-Q
Jul 29, 2026
8-K (recent)
20
Insider net
-$915.3K
0B/5S
13F filers
10k+
Activist 13D
0
Recent 13F institutional filers (SEC EDGAR full-text)
FilerFormFiled
Tevis Investment Management13F-HRAug 5, 2022
Tevis Investment Management13F-HRAug 8, 2022
Tevis Investment Management13F-HRAug 5, 2022
BRICOLEUR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC13F-HRAug 14, 2006
MARK MORRIS ET AL13F-HRAug 13, 2008
Recent insider Form 4 activity
InsiderDateNetBuys/Sells
BREWER BRADYAug 6, 2026-$236.3K0/1
BREWER BRADYJul 8, 2026-$231.8K0/1
BREWER BRADYJun 15, 2026-$58.8K0/1
BREWER BRADYJun 9, 2026-$154.8K0/1
BREWER BRADYMay 7, 2026-$233.6K0/1
Recent 8-K material events
DateFormDescription
Jul 29, 20268-K8-K
Jun 12, 20268-K8-K
May 20, 20268-K8-K
May 15, 20268-K8-K
Apr 28, 20268-K8-K
Apr 2, 20268-K8-K
Mar 30, 20268-K8-K
Jan 28, 20268-K8-K
Insider Form 4 sentiment (transactions)
Buys: 0
Sells: 5
Buys
Sells
Free previewSEC Filing Analyst

SEC Filing Deep-Analysis

SEC Filing Analyst
score -54Deteriorating
66% conf

4 risk signal(s), 1 positive signal(s), 1 watch item(s) detected from XBRL filing diff analysis. Free cash flow deterioration coincides with a -17.0% capex reduction. While lower capex temporarily preserves cash, it may signal underinvestment in growth assets — future revenue capacity could be constrained.

  • Inventory buildup exceeds sales growth: Inventory grew +23.0% vs revenue +2.8%. Excess inventory may signal weakening demand, potential write-downs, or supply chain overcommitment. Watch gross margin for discounting impact.
  • Free cash flow deteriorating: FCF declined +26.4% YoY (from $3.32B to $2.44B). With OCF at $4.75B and capex at $2.31B, cash generation capacity is weakening — monitor for dividend/buyback sustainability.
  • Material weakness in internal controls: The term "material weakness" "internal control" appears in 3 recent filing(s) (vs 2 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
  • Restatement of financial statements: The term "restatement of" "previously issued" appears in 4 recent filing(s) (vs 1 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
  • Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 2.56x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
  • NEW: Off-balance sheet arrangements: Off-balance sheet arrangements appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
  • Endogenous analysis: Free cash flow deterioration coincides with a -17.0% capex reduction. While lower capex temporarily preserves cash, it may signal underinvestment in growth assets — future revenue capacity could be constrained.
  • 11 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
  • 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
  • 1 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Off-balance sheet arrangements.
  • Ongoing high-severity risk language: Material weakness in internal controls, Restatement of financial statements.
Revenue
$37.18B
+2.8% YoY
Operating income
$2.94B
-45.7% YoY
Net income
$1.86B
-50.6% YoY
Operating cash flow
$4.75B
-22.1% YoY
Capex
$2.31B
-17.0% YoY
Total assets
$32.02B
+2.2% YoY
Total liabilities
$40.11B
+3.4% YoY
Long-term debt
$16.07B
+3.3% YoY
Filing quality score
75/100
11 new disclosures
SEC XBRL metric changes (latest annual vs prior)
MetricPrior yearLatest yearChange% Change
Revenue$36.18B$37.18B$1.01B+2.8%
Operating income$5.41B$2.94B$-2.47B-45.7%
Net income$3.76B$1.86B$-1.90B-50.6%
Operating cash flow$6.10B$4.75B$-1.35B-22.1%
Capex$2.78B$2.31B$-472.0M-17.0%
Total assets$31.34B$32.02B$680.4M+2.2%
Total liabilities$38.78B$40.11B$1.33B+3.4%
Long-term debt$15.57B$16.07B$506.4M+3.3%
Cash & equivalents$3.29B$3.22B$-66.4M-2.0%
Stockholders equity$-7.45B$-8.10B$-647.7M-8.7%
Inventory$1.78B$2.19B$408.3M+23.0%
Accounts receivable$1.21B$1.28B$63.7M+5.2%
Interest expense$562.0M$542.6M$-19.4M-3.5%
XBRL disclosure changes (new vs dropped concepts)
TypeConcepts
AddedAssetsOfDisposalGroupIncludingDiscontinuedOperation, CashAndCashEquivalentsFairValueDisclosure, DeconsolidationGainOrLossAmount, Depreciation, DepreciationNonproduction, ExtinguishmentOfDebtAmount, GainLossOnSaleOfBusiness, GoodwillWrittenOffRelatedToSaleOfBusinessUnit, LiabilitiesOfDisposalGroupIncludingDiscontinuedOperation, OtherLongTermInvestments
RemovedAdvertisingExpense, AllowanceForDoubtfulAccountsReceivableCurrent, AssetRetirementObligationsNoncurrent, CapitalizedCostsAssetRetirementCosts, CommonStockSharesOutstanding, CurrentFederalTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentForeignTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentIncomeTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentStateAndLocalTaxExpenseBenefit, DeferredCompensationLiabilityCurrent
Risk language in filing text (EDGAR full-text search)
TermSeverityRecentPriorStatus
Material weakness in internal controlshigh32Ongoing
Restatement of financial statementshigh41Ongoing
Impairment chargemedium52Ongoing
Restructuringmedium56Ongoing
Off-balance sheet arrangementsmedium50NEW
Related party transactionslow50NEW
Filing signal breakdown
Red flags: 4
Positive: 1
Watch: 1
Red flags
Positive
Watch
Free previewFundamentals Analyst

Fundamentals

Fundamentals Analyst
score -35Deteriorating
80% conf

Revenue grew +2.8% YoY to $37.18B. 5-year revenue CAGR +5.1%; 10y CAGR +6.4%. Net margin at 4.99% (contracting ▼).

  • Revenue grew +2.8% YoY to $37.18B.
  • 5-year revenue CAGR +5.1%; 10y CAGR +6.4%.
  • Net margin at 4.99% (contracting ▼).
  • Return on equity -22.93%, ROA 5.80%, ROIC 36.81%.
  • Gross margin 0.00%, operating margin 7.90%.
  • Free cash flow margin 6.57% ($2.44B).
  • Net income down ▼ +50.6% YoY.
  • Debt/equity -1.73, current ratio 0.76, net debt $10.10B.
  • Asset turnover 1.31 — capital efficiency.
Revenue (FY)
$37.18B
YoY +2.8%
Net margin
4.99%
▼ 5.18pp
ROE
-22.93%
ROA 5.80%
ROIC
36.81%
EPS (diluted)
$1.63
FY2025
Free cash flow
$2.44B
6.57% margin
Debt / equity
-1.73
Cash $3.18B
Current ratio
0.76
Equity -$7.67B
Annual fundamentals — up to 10 years (SEC 10-K, US-GAAP)
FYRevenueRev YoYGross%Op%Net%FCFROE%
2024$36.18B+0.6%0.0014.9510.40$3.32B-50.49
2025$37.18B+2.8%0.007.904.99$2.44B-22.93
Quarterly revenue trend (last 6 quarters, SEC 10-Q)
Quarter endRevenueYoYQoQNet margin
Dec 29, 2024$9.40B8.31%
Mar 30, 2025$8.76B-6.8%4.39%
Jun 29, 2025$9.46B+7.9%5.90%
Dec 28, 2025$9.92B+4.9%2.96%
Mar 29, 2026$9.53B-3.9%5.36%
Jun 28, 2026$9.32B-2.2%11.21%
+8 more years of history, charts & full breakdown Pro

Pro analysis — preview

— score, signals & key metrics shown; full reasoning locked

Valuation

Valuation Analyst
score -70Deteriorating
95% conf

Market cap $119.10B at $104.47 per share. Trailing P/E 64.09, P/S 3.20. EV/Operating income ≈ 44.00 (EV $129.20B).

  • Market cap $119.10B at $104.47 per share.
Market cap
$119.10B
1.14B shares
P/E (ttm)
64.09
P/S
3.20
P/B
EV
$129.20B
Intrinsic (DCF)
$36.75
-64.8% vs price
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked

Price & Technicals

Technical Analyst
score 15Stable
85% conf

Price $104.47 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum negative. RSI(14) 40.54.

  • Price $104.47 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum negative.
Price
$104.47
NMS
RSI(14)
40.54
50-DMA
$105.44
200-DMA
$97.64
Volatility (ann.)
27.64%
52w range
$77.99–$110.51
-5.5% from high
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked

Macro & Rates

Macro Analyst
score 30Improving
80% conf

Risk-on · Supportive. Real GDP growth 1.50% (quarterly, as of Apr 1, 2026). CPI inflation +3.3% YoY. Fed funds rate 3.63%, 10Y Treasury 4.77%.

  • Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive.
GDP growth
1.50%
CPI (YoY)
+3.3%
Fed funds
3.63%
10Y yield
4.77%
10Y−2Y
0.41pp
Unemployment
4.10%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked

Risk Scorecard

Risk Analyst
score -20Deteriorating
90% conf

Composite risk Elevated. Leverage debt/equity -1.73 (low). Liquidity current ratio 0.76 (stretched).

  • Composite risk: Elevated.
Risk level
Elevated
Debt / equity
-1.73
Current ratio
0.76
Margin stdev
4.72pp
Cash / assets
11.23%
Liab / assets
127.10%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked

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Macro exposure

Cyclical / growth · High sensitivity
Supportive

Macro regime: Risk-on · Supportive. Starbucks Corp. is a cyclical / growth name (high macro sensitivity) — risk appetite favors cyclical/growth names.

Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Yield curve
Normal
VIX
14.32
Fed funds
3.63%
CPI YoY
+3.3%

Analytical read

deterministic preview

Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive..

Risk
Elevated
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Macro exposure
Supportive
Descriptive analytics from public filings and macro data — not investment advice.

Peer comparison

Cyclical / growth group

How SBUX stacks up against tracked peers with similar macro sensitivity — by analytical score and macro exposure.

CompanyScoreMacro
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Comcast Corp. CMCSA17Supportive
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Amazon.com Inc. AMZN5Supportive
IBM Corp. IBM4Supportive
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Advanced Micro Devices AMD4Supportive
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GE Aerospace GE3Supportive
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General Motors Co. GM-4Supportive
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TJX Cos. TJX-10Supportive
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Nucor Corp. NUE-10Supportive
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Texas Instruments TXN-13Supportive
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Palo Alto Networks PANW-16Supportive
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